Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.021868 0.023709 0.025631 0.027790 0.030148 0.032646 0.035496
2025-08-10 0.018858 0.021520 0.024457 0.027943 0.031976 0.036502 0.041981
2025-08-17 0.016601 0.019671 0.023198 0.027562 0.032832 0.039010 0.046833
2025-08-24 0.014888 0.018182 0.022092 0.027094 0.033351 0.040954 0.050945
2025-08-31 0.013638 0.017091 0.021306 0.026856 0.034013 0.042983 0.055161
2025-09-07 0.012622 0.016182 0.020637 0.026654 0.034627 0.044901 0.059266
2025-09-14 0.011790 0.015429 0.020085 0.026524 0.035268 0.046828 0.063433
2025-09-21 0.010997 0.014663 0.019449 0.026210 0.035602 0.048312 0.067031
2025-09-28 0.010445 0.014174 0.019137 0.026292 0.036446 0.050500 0.071699
2025-10-05 0.009876 0.013621 0.018697 0.026150 0.036944 0.052197 0.075728
2025-10-12 0.009442 0.013228 0.018444 0.026245 0.037760 0.054366 0.080546
2025-10-19 0.009027 0.012833 0.018163 0.026269 0.038456 0.056372 0.085210
2025-10-26 0.008534 0.012316 0.017701 0.026037 0.038812 0.057970 0.089485
2025-11-02 0.008206 0.012026 0.017558 0.026274 0.039895 0.060745 0.095818
2025-11-09 0.007750 0.011517 0.017057 0.025933 0.040052 0.062079 0.099904
2025-11-16 0.007308 0.011005 0.016521 0.025498 0.040022 0.063094 0.103507
2025-11-23 0.006954 0.010608 0.016138 0.025275 0.040309 0.064618 0.108037
2025-11-30 0.006635 0.010248 0.015791 0.025086 0.040630 0.066199 0.112747
2025-12-07 0.006354 0.009933 0.015498 0.024965 0.041045 0.067949 0.117848
2025-12-14 0.006056 0.009575 0.015116 0.024671 0.041146 0.069154 0.122037
2025-12-21 0.005856 0.009365 0.014962 0.024747 0.041879 0.071484 0.128410
2025-12-28 0.005626 0.009095 0.014695 0.024615 0.042234 0.073158 0.133661
2026-01-04 0.005453 0.008912 0.014562 0.024703 0.042979 0.075561 0.140439